Jun
15

Richmond Fed Rebound Suggests Economic Recovery

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In May, the seasonally adjusted manufacturing index — our broadest measure of manufacturing activity — jumped to 4 from April’s reading of -9 (see chart below). Among the index’s components, shipments gained twelve points to 9, new orders rose twelve points to finish at 10, and the jobs index advanced fourteen points to end at -12.

Signaling the end of the 2001 recession, the economy was in full recovery when the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index was above zero by early 2002. The index is now above zero for the first time in more than a year, suggesting possibly that the Richmond Fed region, if not the rest of the country, is now in recovery.

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